Techno Agricultural (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2600.0
| TSC Stock | 2,630 50.00 1.87% |
Techno |
Techno Agricultural Target Price Odds to finish below 2600.0
The tendency of Techno Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2,600 or more in 90 days |
| 2,630 | 90 days | 2,600 | about 85.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Techno Agricultural to drop to 2,600 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.85 (This Techno Agricultural Supplying probability density function shows the probability of Techno Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Techno Agricultural price to stay between 2,600 and its current price of 2630.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Techno Agricultural has a beta of 0.0015. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Techno Agricultural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Techno Agricultural Supplying will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Techno Agricultural Supplying has an alpha of 0.1561, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Techno Agricultural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Techno Agricultural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Techno Agricultural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Techno Agricultural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Techno Agricultural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Techno Agricultural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Techno Agricultural Supplying, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Techno Agricultural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 108.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Techno Agricultural Technical Analysis
Techno Agricultural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Techno Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Techno Agricultural Supplying. In general, you should focus on analyzing Techno Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Techno Agricultural Predictive Forecast Models
Techno Agricultural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Techno Agricultural's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Techno Agricultural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Techno Agricultural in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Techno Agricultural's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Techno Agricultural options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Techno Stock
Techno Agricultural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techno Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techno with respect to the benefits of owning Techno Agricultural security.