Trastor Real (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.06

TRASTOR Stock  EUR 1.05  0.01  0.94%   
Trastor Real's future price is the expected price of Trastor Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Trastor Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trastor Real Backtesting, Trastor Real Valuation, Trastor Real Correlation, Trastor Real Hype Analysis, Trastor Real Volatility, Trastor Real History as well as Trastor Real Performance.
  
Please specify Trastor Real's target price for which you would like Trastor Real odds to be computed.

Trastor Real Target Price Odds to finish below 1.06

The tendency of Trastor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 1.06  after 90 days
 1.05 90 days 1.06 
about 33.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trastor Real to stay under € 1.06  after 90 days from now is about 33.6 (This Trastor Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Trastor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trastor Real Estate price to stay between its current price of € 1.05  and € 1.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trastor Real Estate has a beta of -0.28. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Trastor Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Trastor Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Trastor Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trastor Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trastor Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trastor Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trastor Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.062.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.912.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.062.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.061.061.07
Details

Trastor Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trastor Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trastor Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trastor Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trastor Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Trastor Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trastor Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trastor Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trastor Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trastor Real Estate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trastor Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trastor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trastor Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trastor Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.7 M
Dividends Paid1.5 M
Short Long Term Debt2.5 M

Trastor Real Technical Analysis

Trastor Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trastor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trastor Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trastor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Trastor Real Predictive Forecast Models

Trastor Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trastor Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trastor Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Trastor Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trastor Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trastor Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trastor Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trastor Real Estate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Trastor Stock Analysis

When running Trastor Real's price analysis, check to measure Trastor Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trastor Real is operating at the current time. Most of Trastor Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trastor Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trastor Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trastor Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.