Tutor Perini Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.2

TPC Stock  USD 26.20  0.13  0.50%   
Tutor Perini's future price is the expected price of Tutor Perini instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tutor Perini performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tutor Perini Backtesting, Tutor Perini Valuation, Tutor Perini Correlation, Tutor Perini Hype Analysis, Tutor Perini Volatility, Tutor Perini History as well as Tutor Perini Performance.
For information on how to trade Tutor Stock refer to our How to Trade Tutor Stock guide.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.24, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.11. Please specify Tutor Perini's target price for which you would like Tutor Perini odds to be computed.

Tutor Perini Target Price Odds to finish below 26.2

The tendency of Tutor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 26.20 90 days 26.20 
about 28.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tutor Perini to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 28.89 (This Tutor Perini probability density function shows the probability of Tutor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tutor Perini will likely underperform. Additionally Tutor Perini has an alpha of 0.0577, implying that it can generate a 0.0577 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tutor Perini Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tutor Perini

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tutor Perini. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3626.0229.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2218.8828.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.5726.2329.89
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details

Tutor Perini Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tutor Perini is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tutor Perini's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tutor Perini, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tutor Perini within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Tutor Perini Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tutor Perini for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tutor Perini can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tutor Perini had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.88 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (171.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 29.61 M.
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why Tutor Perini Corporation is a Trending Stock

Tutor Perini Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tutor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tutor Perini's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tutor Perini's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments380.6 M

Tutor Perini Technical Analysis

Tutor Perini's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tutor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tutor Perini. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tutor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tutor Perini Predictive Forecast Models

Tutor Perini's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tutor Perini's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tutor Perini's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tutor Perini

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tutor Perini for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tutor Perini help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tutor Perini had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.88 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (171.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 29.61 M.
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why Tutor Perini Corporation is a Trending Stock
When determining whether Tutor Perini offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tutor Perini's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tutor Perini Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tutor Perini Stock:
Check out Tutor Perini Backtesting, Tutor Perini Valuation, Tutor Perini Correlation, Tutor Perini Hype Analysis, Tutor Perini Volatility, Tutor Perini History as well as Tutor Perini Performance.
For information on how to trade Tutor Stock refer to our How to Trade Tutor Stock guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tutor Perini. If investors know Tutor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tutor Perini listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Earnings Share
(2.53)
Revenue Per Share
81.985
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.021
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Tutor Perini is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tutor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tutor Perini's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tutor Perini's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tutor Perini's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tutor Perini's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tutor Perini's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tutor Perini is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tutor Perini's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.