Toivo Group (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.0
| TOIVO Stock | 1.02 0.01 0.99% |
Toivo |
Toivo Group Target Price Odds to finish below 1.0
The tendency of Toivo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.00 or more in 90 days |
| 1.02 | 90 days | 1.00 | about 11.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toivo Group to drop to 1.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.48 (This Toivo Group Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Toivo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Toivo Group Oyj price to stay between 1.00 and its current price of 1.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Toivo Group Oyj has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Toivo Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Toivo Group Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Toivo Group Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Toivo Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Toivo Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toivo Group Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Toivo Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toivo Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toivo Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toivo Group Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toivo Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Toivo Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toivo Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toivo Group Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Toivo Group Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toivo Group Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Toivo Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Toivo Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toivo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toivo Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toivo Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.1 M |
Toivo Group Technical Analysis
Toivo Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toivo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toivo Group Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toivo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Toivo Group Predictive Forecast Models
Toivo Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toivo Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toivo Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Toivo Group Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Toivo Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toivo Group Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Toivo Group Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toivo Group Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Toivo Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Toivo Stock
Toivo Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Toivo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Toivo with respect to the benefits of owning Toivo Group security.