Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.78
| TNTELE Stock | 11.92 0.07 0.59% |
Tamilnadu |
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish below 10.78
The tendency of Tamilnadu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.78 or more in 90 days |
| 11.92 | 90 days | 10.78 | about 61.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio to drop to 10.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.44 (This Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited probability density function shows the probability of Tamilnadu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio price to stay between 10.78 and its current price of 11.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited has an alpha of 0.2724, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (146.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (77.3 K). | |
| Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited has accumulated about 6.9 M in cash with (8.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shares below Rs 100 Only buyers were seen in these stocks on December 10 - Dalal Street Investment Journal |
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tamilnadu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tamilnadu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tamilnadu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (146.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (77.3 K). | |
| Tamilnadu Telecommunication Limited has accumulated about 6.9 M in cash with (8.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shares below Rs 100 Only buyers were seen in these stocks on December 10 - Dalal Street Investment Journal |
Other Information on Investing in Tamilnadu Stock
Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tamilnadu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tamilnadu with respect to the benefits of owning Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio security.