Thermax (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4812.93
| THERMAX Stock | 4,905 108.95 2.27% |
Thermax |
Thermax Target Price Odds to finish below 4812.93
The tendency of Thermax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4,813 or more in 90 days |
| 4,905 | 90 days | 4,813 | about 27.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thermax to drop to 4,813 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.49 (This Thermax Limited probability density function shows the probability of Thermax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thermax Limited price to stay between 4,813 and its current price of 4904.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thermax has a beta of 0.39. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thermax average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thermax Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thermax Limited has an alpha of 0.1317, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thermax Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thermax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thermax Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thermax Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thermax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thermax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thermax Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thermax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 257.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Thermax Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thermax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thermax Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thermax Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thermax Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Thermax share price trading at 20 percent discount Should you buy it despite valuation concerns - Trade Brains |
Thermax Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thermax Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thermax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thermax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.7 B |
Thermax Technical Analysis
Thermax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thermax Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thermax Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thermax Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thermax Predictive Forecast Models
Thermax's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thermax's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thermax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thermax Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thermax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thermax Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thermax Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thermax Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Thermax share price trading at 20 percent discount Should you buy it despite valuation concerns - Trade Brains |
Additional Tools for Thermax Stock Analysis
When running Thermax's price analysis, check to measure Thermax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thermax is operating at the current time. Most of Thermax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thermax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thermax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thermax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.