Target (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 530.29
| TGTB34 Stock | BRL 797.50 7.56 0.94% |
Target |
Target Target Price Odds to finish below 530.29
The tendency of Target Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 530.29 or more in 90 days |
| 797.50 | 90 days | 530.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Target to drop to R$ 530.29 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Target probability density function shows the probability of Target Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Target price to stay between R$ 530.29 and its current price of R$797.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Target has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Target are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Target is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Target has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Target Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Target
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Target Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Target is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Target's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Target, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Target within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 44.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Target Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Target for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Target can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Target generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Target has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Target Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Target Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Target's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Target's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 471.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Target Technical Analysis
Target's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Target Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Target. In general, you should focus on analyzing Target Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Target Predictive Forecast Models
Target's time-series forecasting models is one of many Target's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Target's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Target
Checking the ongoing alerts about Target for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Target help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Target generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Target has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Target Stock
When determining whether Target is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Target Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Target Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Target Stock:Check out Target Backtesting, Target Valuation, Target Correlation, Target Hype Analysis, Target Volatility, Target History as well as Target Performance. For information on how to trade Target Stock refer to our How to Trade Target Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.