Yum Brands (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.06
| TGR Stock | EUR 125.25 0.90 0.71% |
Yum |
Yum Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 124.06
The tendency of Yum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 124.06 or more in 90 days |
| 125.25 | 90 days | 124.06 | about 37.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yum Brands to drop to € 124.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.16 (This Yum Brands probability density function shows the probability of Yum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yum Brands price to stay between € 124.06 and its current price of €125.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yum Brands has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Yum Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yum Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yum Brands has an alpha of 0.0938, implying that it can generate a 0.0938 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yum Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yum Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yum Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yum Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yum Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yum Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yum Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yum Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Yum Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yum Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yum Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yum Brands has accumulated 11.4 B in total debt. Yum Brands has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Yum Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Yum Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Yum Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Yum to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Yum Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Yum Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yum Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yum Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 280 M |
Yum Brands Technical Analysis
Yum Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yum Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yum Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Yum Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Yum Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yum Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yum Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yum Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yum Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yum Brands has accumulated 11.4 B in total debt. Yum Brands has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Yum Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Yum Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Yum Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Yum to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Yum Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Yum Stock
When determining whether Yum Brands is a strong investment it is important to analyze Yum Brands' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Yum Brands' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Yum Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Yum Brands Backtesting, Yum Brands Valuation, Yum Brands Correlation, Yum Brands Hype Analysis, Yum Brands Volatility, Yum Brands History as well as Yum Brands Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Yum Stock please use our How to Invest in Yum Brands guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.