Tactical Growth Allocation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.11
| TFAFX Fund | USD 11.53 0.16 1.41% |
Tactical |
Tactical Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 11.11
The tendency of Tactical Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.11 or more in 90 days |
| 11.53 | 90 days | 11.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tactical Growth to drop to $ 11.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tactical Growth Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Tactical Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tactical Growth Allo price to stay between $ 11.11 and its current price of $11.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tactical Growth has a beta of 0.56. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tactical Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tactical Growth Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tactical Growth Allocation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tactical Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tactical Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tactical Growth Allo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tactical Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tactical Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tactical Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tactical Growth Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tactical Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0023 |
Tactical Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tactical Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tactical Growth Allo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tactical Growth Allo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 44.27% of its assets in cash |
Tactical Growth Technical Analysis
Tactical Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tactical Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tactical Growth Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tactical Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tactical Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Tactical Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tactical Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tactical Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tactical Growth Allo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tactical Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tactical Growth Allo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tactical Growth Allo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 44.27% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Tactical Mutual Fund
Tactical Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tactical Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tactical with respect to the benefits of owning Tactical Growth security.
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