Technip Energies (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.64

TE Stock  EUR 26.02  0.72  2.85%   
Technip Energies' future price is the expected price of Technip Energies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Technip Energies BV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Technip Energies Backtesting, Technip Energies Valuation, Technip Energies Correlation, Technip Energies Hype Analysis, Technip Energies Volatility, Technip Energies History as well as Technip Energies Performance.
  
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Technip Energies Target Price Odds to finish over 20.64

The tendency of Technip Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 20.64  in 90 days
 26.02 90 days 20.64 
about 88.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Technip Energies to stay above € 20.64  in 90 days from now is about 88.4 (This Technip Energies BV probability density function shows the probability of Technip Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Technip Energies price to stay between € 20.64  and its current price of €26.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Technip Energies BV has a beta of -0.54. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Technip Energies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Technip Energies BV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Technip Energies BV has an alpha of 0.3618, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Technip Energies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Technip Energies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Technip Energies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7726.0228.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3420.5928.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2128.4530.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.4924.2025.91
Details

Technip Energies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Technip Energies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Technip Energies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Technip Energies BV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Technip Energies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Technip Energies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Technip Energies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Technip Energies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Technip Energies BV has accumulated 831 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Technip Energies has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Technip Energies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Technip Energies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Technip Energies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Technip to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Technip Energies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 57.0% of Technip Energies shares are owned by institutional investors

Technip Energies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Technip Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Technip Energies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Technip Energies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding179.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 B

Technip Energies Technical Analysis

Technip Energies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Technip Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Technip Energies BV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Technip Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Technip Energies Predictive Forecast Models

Technip Energies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Technip Energies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Technip Energies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Technip Energies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Technip Energies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Technip Energies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Technip Energies BV has accumulated 831 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Technip Energies has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Technip Energies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Technip Energies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Technip Energies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Technip to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Technip Energies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 57.0% of Technip Energies shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Technip Stock

Technip Energies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Technip Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Technip with respect to the benefits of owning Technip Energies security.