Triad Business Bank Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.26

TBBC Stock  USD 5.02  0.02  0.40%   
Triad Business' future price is the expected price of Triad Business instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Triad Business Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Triad Business Backtesting, Triad Business Valuation, Triad Business Correlation, Triad Business Hype Analysis, Triad Business Volatility, Triad Business History as well as Triad Business Performance.
  
Please specify Triad Business' target price for which you would like Triad Business odds to be computed.

Triad Business Target Price Odds to finish below 3.26

The tendency of Triad Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.26  or more in 90 days
 5.02 90 days 3.26 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Triad Business to drop to $ 3.26  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Triad Business Bank probability density function shows the probability of Triad Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Triad Business Bank price to stay between $ 3.26  and its current price of $5.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Triad Business has a beta of 0.0467. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Triad Business average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Triad Business Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Triad Business Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Triad Business Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Triad Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triad Business Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.255.026.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.534.306.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.194.966.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.995.015.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Triad Business. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Triad Business' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Triad Business' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Triad Business Bank.

Triad Business Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Triad Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Triad Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Triad Business Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Triad Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Triad Business Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Triad Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Triad Business Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Triad Business Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Triad Business Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.02 M.

Triad Business Technical Analysis

Triad Business' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Triad Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Triad Business Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Triad Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Triad Business Predictive Forecast Models

Triad Business' time-series forecasting models is one of many Triad Business' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Triad Business' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Triad Business Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Triad Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Triad Business Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Triad Business Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Triad Business Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.02 M.

Other Information on Investing in Triad Pink Sheet

Triad Business financial ratios help investors to determine whether Triad Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Triad with respect to the benefits of owning Triad Business security.