Teb Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 25.69

TBBA Stock  USD 7.98  0.97  13.84%   
Teb Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Teb Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Teb Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teb Bancorp Backtesting, Teb Bancorp Valuation, Teb Bancorp Correlation, Teb Bancorp Hype Analysis, Teb Bancorp Volatility, Teb Bancorp History as well as Teb Bancorp Performance.
  
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Teb Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 25.69

The tendency of Teb Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.69  or more in 90 days
 7.98 90 days 25.69 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teb Bancorp to move over $ 25.69  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Teb Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Teb Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teb Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 7.98  and $ 25.69  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Teb Bancorp has a beta of 0.85. This usually implies Teb Bancorp market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Teb Bancorp is expected to follow. Additionally Teb Bancorp has an alpha of 0.4973, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Teb Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teb Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teb Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.787.9814.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.287.4813.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Teb Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Teb Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Teb Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Teb Bancorp.

Teb Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teb Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teb Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teb Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teb Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Teb Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teb Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teb Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teb Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Teb Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Teb Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Teb Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teb Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.8 M

Teb Bancorp Technical Analysis

Teb Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teb Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teb Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teb Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teb Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Teb Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teb Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teb Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teb Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teb Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teb Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teb Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Teb Pink Sheet

Teb Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teb Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teb with respect to the benefits of owning Teb Bancorp security.