HANetf ICAV (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 14.91
| T3KE Etf | EUR 14.20 0.01 0.07% |
HANetf |
HANetf ICAV Target Price Odds to finish below 14.91
The tendency of HANetf Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 14.91 after 90 days |
| 14.20 | 90 days | 14.91 | over 95.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HANetf ICAV to stay under € 14.91 after 90 days from now is over 95.65 (This HANetf ICAV probability density function shows the probability of HANetf Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HANetf ICAV price to stay between its current price of € 14.20 and € 14.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HANetf ICAV has a beta of 0.34. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, HANetf ICAV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HANetf ICAV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HANetf ICAV has an alpha of 0.2905, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HANetf ICAV Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for HANetf ICAV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HANetf ICAV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HANetf ICAV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HANetf ICAV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HANetf ICAV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HANetf ICAV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HANetf ICAV , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HANetf ICAV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
HANetf ICAV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HANetf ICAV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HANetf ICAV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.HANetf ICAV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HANetf Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HANetf ICAV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HANetf ICAV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 127 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 406 |
HANetf ICAV Technical Analysis
HANetf ICAV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HANetf Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HANetf ICAV . In general, you should focus on analyzing HANetf Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HANetf ICAV Predictive Forecast Models
HANetf ICAV's time-series forecasting models is one of many HANetf ICAV's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HANetf ICAV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HANetf ICAV
Checking the ongoing alerts about HANetf ICAV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HANetf ICAV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in HANetf Etf
HANetf ICAV financial ratios help investors to determine whether HANetf Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HANetf with respect to the benefits of owning HANetf ICAV security.