Transportadora (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.0

T2K1 Stock  EUR 26.60  0.20  0.76%   
Transportadora's future price is the expected price of Transportadora instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Transportadora de Gas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Transportadora Backtesting, Transportadora Valuation, Transportadora Correlation, Transportadora Hype Analysis, Transportadora Volatility, Transportadora History as well as Transportadora Performance.
  
Please specify Transportadora's target price for which you would like Transportadora odds to be computed.

Transportadora Target Price Odds to finish below 16.0

The tendency of Transportadora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 16.00  or more in 90 days
 26.60 90 days 16.00 
about 9.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transportadora to drop to € 16.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.07 (This Transportadora de Gas probability density function shows the probability of Transportadora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Transportadora de Gas price to stay between € 16.00  and its current price of €26.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Transportadora de Gas has a beta of -0.64. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Transportadora are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Transportadora de Gas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Transportadora de Gas has an alpha of 0.7208, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Transportadora Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Transportadora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transportadora de Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3526.6030.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3520.6029.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0224.2728.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.1527.2029.25
Details

Transportadora Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transportadora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transportadora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transportadora de Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transportadora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.72
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.64
σ
Overall volatility
3.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Transportadora Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transportadora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transportadora de Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transportadora appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Transportadora Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transportadora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transportadora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transportadora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding752.8 M
Short Long Term Debt551.9 M

Transportadora Technical Analysis

Transportadora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transportadora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transportadora de Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transportadora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Transportadora Predictive Forecast Models

Transportadora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transportadora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transportadora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Transportadora de Gas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Transportadora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transportadora de Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transportadora appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Transportadora Stock

When determining whether Transportadora de Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze Transportadora's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Transportadora's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Transportadora Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Transportadora Backtesting, Transportadora Valuation, Transportadora Correlation, Transportadora Hype Analysis, Transportadora Volatility, Transportadora History as well as Transportadora Performance.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Transportadora's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transportadora is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transportadora's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.