TRADEDOUBLER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.90

T1D Stock   0.28  0.01  3.70%   
TRADEDOUBLER's future price is the expected price of TRADEDOUBLER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TRADEDOUBLER AB SK performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TRADEDOUBLER Backtesting, TRADEDOUBLER Valuation, TRADEDOUBLER Correlation, TRADEDOUBLER Hype Analysis, TRADEDOUBLER Volatility, TRADEDOUBLER History as well as TRADEDOUBLER Performance.
  
Please specify TRADEDOUBLER's target price for which you would like TRADEDOUBLER odds to be computed.

TRADEDOUBLER Target Price Odds to finish over 4.90

The tendency of TRADEDOUBLER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.90  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 4.90 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRADEDOUBLER to move over  4.90  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TRADEDOUBLER AB SK probability density function shows the probability of TRADEDOUBLER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TRADEDOUBLER AB SK price to stay between its current price of  0.28  and  4.90  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TRADEDOUBLER has a beta of 0.46. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TRADEDOUBLER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TRADEDOUBLER AB SK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TRADEDOUBLER AB SK has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TRADEDOUBLER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TRADEDOUBLER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRADEDOUBLER AB SK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.284.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.234.85
Details

TRADEDOUBLER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRADEDOUBLER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRADEDOUBLER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRADEDOUBLER AB SK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRADEDOUBLER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

TRADEDOUBLER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRADEDOUBLER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRADEDOUBLER AB SK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TRADEDOUBLER AB SK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TRADEDOUBLER AB SK has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
TRADEDOUBLER AB SK has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

TRADEDOUBLER Technical Analysis

TRADEDOUBLER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRADEDOUBLER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRADEDOUBLER AB SK. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRADEDOUBLER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TRADEDOUBLER Predictive Forecast Models

TRADEDOUBLER's time-series forecasting models is one of many TRADEDOUBLER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRADEDOUBLER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TRADEDOUBLER AB SK

Checking the ongoing alerts about TRADEDOUBLER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRADEDOUBLER AB SK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TRADEDOUBLER AB SK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TRADEDOUBLER AB SK has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
TRADEDOUBLER AB SK has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in TRADEDOUBLER Stock

TRADEDOUBLER financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRADEDOUBLER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRADEDOUBLER with respect to the benefits of owning TRADEDOUBLER security.