Sensient Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 75.12

SXT Stock  USD 72.18  0.82  1.12%   
Sensient Technologies' future price is the expected price of Sensient Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sensient Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sensient Technologies Backtesting, Sensient Technologies Valuation, Sensient Technologies Correlation, Sensient Technologies Hype Analysis, Sensient Technologies Volatility, Sensient Technologies History as well as Sensient Technologies Performance.
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Sensient Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 75.12

The tendency of Sensient Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 75.12  or more in 90 days
 72.18 90 days 75.12 
about 82.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sensient Technologies to move over $ 75.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.99 (This Sensient Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Sensient Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sensient Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 72.18  and $ 75.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.33 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sensient Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Sensient Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sensient Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sensient Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensient Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensient Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.8072.1873.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.9674.4875.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.5770.9572.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.5176.1180.72
Details

Sensient Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sensient Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sensient Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sensient Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sensient Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Sensient Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sensient Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sensient Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sensient Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of December 2024 Sensient Technologies paid $ 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Sensient Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sensient Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sensient Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensient Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.9 M

Sensient Technologies Technical Analysis

Sensient Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sensient Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sensient Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sensient Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sensient Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Sensient Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sensient Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sensient Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sensient Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sensient Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sensient Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sensient Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of December 2024 Sensient Technologies paid $ 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Additional Tools for Sensient Stock Analysis

When running Sensient Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Sensient Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensient Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Sensient Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensient Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensient Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensient Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.