Standex International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 200.5

SXI Stock  USD 188.99  1.00  0.53%   
Standex International's future price is the expected price of Standex International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Standex International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Standex International Backtesting, Standex International Valuation, Standex International Correlation, Standex International Hype Analysis, Standex International Volatility, Standex International History as well as Standex International Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Standex Stock please use our How to Invest in Standex International guide.
  
As of now, Standex International's Price Cash Flow Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Standex International's current Price Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 2.69, while Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.71. Please specify Standex International's target price for which you would like Standex International odds to be computed.

Standex International Target Price Odds to finish over 200.5

The tendency of Standex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 200.50  or more in 90 days
 188.99 90 days 200.50 
about 25.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Standex International to move over $ 200.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 25.23 (This Standex International probability density function shows the probability of Standex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Standex International price to stay between its current price of $ 188.99  and $ 200.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Standex International will likely underperform. Additionally Standex International has an alpha of 0.0638, implying that it can generate a 0.0638 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Standex International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Standex International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standex International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Standex International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.09189.19191.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
179.80181.90207.89
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
157.73173.33192.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.521.741.75
Details

Standex International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Standex International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Standex International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Standex International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Standex International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.67
σ
Overall volatility
13.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Standex International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Standex International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Standex International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Standex International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Standex International paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Standex Internationals five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

Standex International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Standex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Standex International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standex International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments154.2 M

Standex International Technical Analysis

Standex International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Standex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Standex International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Standex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Standex International Predictive Forecast Models

Standex International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Standex International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Standex International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Standex International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Standex International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Standex International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Standex International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Standex International paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Standex Internationals five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth
When determining whether Standex International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Standex International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Standex International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Standex International Stock:
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Standex International. If investors know Standex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Standex International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.613
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
6.12
Revenue Per Share
59.989
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.266
The market value of Standex International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Standex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Standex International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Standex International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Standex International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Standex International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Standex International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Standex International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Standex International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.