Standex International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 173.44
| SXI Stock | USD 191.99 0.10 0.05% |
Standex |
Standex International Target Price Odds to finish below 173.44
The tendency of Standex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 173.44 or more in 90 days |
| 191.99 | 90 days | 173.44 | about 8.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Standex International to drop to $ 173.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.94 (This Standex International probability density function shows the probability of Standex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Standex International price to stay between $ 173.44 and its current price of $191.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.83 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Standex International will likely underperform. Additionally Standex International has an alpha of 0.1038, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Standex International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Standex International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standex International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Standex International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Standex International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Standex International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Standex International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Standex International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Standex International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Standex International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Standex International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Standex International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Standex International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Standex International paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Standex Internationals five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth |
Standex International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Standex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Standex International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standex International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 154.2 M |
Standex International Technical Analysis
Standex International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Standex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Standex International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Standex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Standex International Predictive Forecast Models
Standex International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Standex International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Standex International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Standex International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Standex International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Standex International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Standex International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Standex International paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Standex Internationals five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth |
Check out Standex International Backtesting, Standex International Valuation, Standex International Correlation, Standex International Hype Analysis, Standex International Volatility, Standex International History as well as Standex International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Standex Stock please use our How to Invest in Standex International guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Standex International. If investors know Standex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Standex International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.613 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 6.12 | Revenue Per Share 59.989 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.266 |
The market value of Standex International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Standex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Standex International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Standex International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Standex International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Standex International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Standex International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Standex International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Standex International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.