Svenska Handelsbanken Ab Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 14.80

SVNLF Stock  USD 10.46  0.25  2.45%   
Svenska Handelsbanken's future price is the expected price of Svenska Handelsbanken instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Svenska Handelsbanken AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Svenska Handelsbanken Backtesting, Svenska Handelsbanken Valuation, Svenska Handelsbanken Correlation, Svenska Handelsbanken Hype Analysis, Svenska Handelsbanken Volatility, Svenska Handelsbanken History as well as Svenska Handelsbanken Performance.
  
Please specify Svenska Handelsbanken's target price for which you would like Svenska Handelsbanken odds to be computed.

Svenska Handelsbanken Target Price Odds to finish over 14.80

The tendency of Svenska Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.80  or more in 90 days
 10.46 90 days 14.80 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Svenska Handelsbanken to move over $ 14.80  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Svenska Handelsbanken AB probability density function shows the probability of Svenska Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Svenska Handelsbanken price to stay between its current price of $ 10.46  and $ 14.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Svenska Handelsbanken AB has a beta of -0.36. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Svenska Handelsbanken are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Svenska Handelsbanken AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Svenska Handelsbanken AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Svenska Handelsbanken Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Svenska Handelsbanken

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Svenska Handelsbanken. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0010.2112.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.408.6110.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.579.7811.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.4110.3612.32
Details

Svenska Handelsbanken Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Svenska Handelsbanken is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Svenska Handelsbanken's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Svenska Handelsbanken AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Svenska Handelsbanken within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Svenska Handelsbanken Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Svenska Handelsbanken for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Svenska Handelsbanken can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Svenska Handelsbanken AB has accumulated about 48.2 B in cash with (38.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Svenska Handelsbanken Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Svenska Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Svenska Handelsbanken's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Svenska Handelsbanken's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Svenska Handelsbanken Technical Analysis

Svenska Handelsbanken's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Svenska Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Svenska Handelsbanken AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Svenska Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Svenska Handelsbanken Predictive Forecast Models

Svenska Handelsbanken's time-series forecasting models is one of many Svenska Handelsbanken's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Svenska Handelsbanken's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Svenska Handelsbanken

Checking the ongoing alerts about Svenska Handelsbanken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Svenska Handelsbanken help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Svenska Handelsbanken AB has accumulated about 48.2 B in cash with (38.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Svenska Pink Sheet

Svenska Handelsbanken financial ratios help investors to determine whether Svenska Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Svenska with respect to the benefits of owning Svenska Handelsbanken security.