Step One (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.50

STP Stock   1.25  0.01  0.79%   
Step One's future price is the expected price of Step One instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Step One Clothing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Step One Backtesting, Step One Valuation, Step One Correlation, Step One Hype Analysis, Step One Volatility, Step One History as well as Step One Performance.
  
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Step One Target Price Odds to finish over 9.50

The tendency of Step Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  9.50  or more in 90 days
 1.25 90 days 9.50 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Step One to move over  9.50  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Step One Clothing probability density function shows the probability of Step Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Step One Clothing price to stay between its current price of  1.25  and  9.50  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Step One has a beta of 0.67. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Step One average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Step One Clothing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Step One Clothing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Step One Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Step One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Step One Clothing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.213.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.053.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.143.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details

Step One Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Step One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Step One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Step One Clothing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Step One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Step One Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Step One for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Step One Clothing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Step One Clothing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Step One Clothing may become a speculative penny stock
Step One Clothing is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Step One Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Step Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Step One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Step One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding186.5 M
Dividends Paid16.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments39 M

Step One Technical Analysis

Step One's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Step Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Step One Clothing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Step Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Step One Predictive Forecast Models

Step One's time-series forecasting models is one of many Step One's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Step One's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Step One Clothing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Step One for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Step One Clothing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Step One Clothing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Step One Clothing may become a speculative penny stock
Step One Clothing is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Step Stock Analysis

When running Step One's price analysis, check to measure Step One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Step One is operating at the current time. Most of Step One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Step One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Step One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Step One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.