Sri Trang (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.96

STA Stock  THB 18.80  0.10  0.53%   
Sri Trang's future price is the expected price of Sri Trang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sri Trang Agro Industry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sri Trang Backtesting, Sri Trang Valuation, Sri Trang Correlation, Sri Trang Hype Analysis, Sri Trang Volatility, Sri Trang History as well as Sri Trang Performance.
  
Please specify Sri Trang's target price for which you would like Sri Trang odds to be computed.

Sri Trang Target Price Odds to finish over 14.96

The tendency of Sri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  14.96  in 90 days
 18.80 90 days 14.96 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sri Trang to stay above  14.96  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sri Trang Agro Industry probability density function shows the probability of Sri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sri Trang Agro price to stay between  14.96  and its current price of 18.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sri Trang has a beta of 0.51. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sri Trang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sri Trang Agro Industry will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sri Trang Agro Industry has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sri Trang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sri Trang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sri Trang Agro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9518.8021.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2620.1122.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.8520.7023.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3718.4419.50
Details

Sri Trang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sri Trang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sri Trang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sri Trang Agro Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sri Trang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Sri Trang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sri Trang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sri Trang Agro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sri Trang Agro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sri Trang Agro has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sri Trang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sri Trang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sri Trang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Sri Trang Technical Analysis

Sri Trang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sri Trang Agro Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sri Trang Predictive Forecast Models

Sri Trang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sri Trang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sri Trang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sri Trang Agro

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sri Trang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sri Trang Agro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sri Trang Agro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sri Trang Agro has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sri Stock

Sri Trang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sri with respect to the benefits of owning Sri Trang security.