Indo Acidatama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.68

SRSN Stock  IDR 50.00  1.00  1.96%   
Indo Acidatama's future price is the expected price of Indo Acidatama instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indo Acidatama Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indo Acidatama Backtesting, Indo Acidatama Valuation, Indo Acidatama Correlation, Indo Acidatama Hype Analysis, Indo Acidatama Volatility, Indo Acidatama History as well as Indo Acidatama Performance.
  
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Indo Acidatama Target Price Odds to finish over 49.68

The tendency of Indo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  49.68  in 90 days
 50.00 90 days 49.68 
about 91.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indo Acidatama to stay above  49.68  in 90 days from now is about 91.38 (This Indo Acidatama Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Indo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indo Acidatama Tbk price to stay between  49.68  and its current price of 50.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indo Acidatama Tbk has a beta of -0.0275. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indo Acidatama are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indo Acidatama Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Indo Acidatama Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Indo Acidatama Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indo Acidatama

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indo Acidatama Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.4550.0051.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.6648.2155.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.0050.5552.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.8850.1450.40
Details

Indo Acidatama Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indo Acidatama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indo Acidatama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indo Acidatama Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indo Acidatama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Indo Acidatama Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indo Acidatama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indo Acidatama Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indo Acidatama Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Indo Acidatama Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indo Acidatama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indo Acidatama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments24.6 B

Indo Acidatama Technical Analysis

Indo Acidatama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indo Acidatama Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indo Acidatama Predictive Forecast Models

Indo Acidatama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indo Acidatama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indo Acidatama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indo Acidatama Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indo Acidatama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indo Acidatama Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indo Acidatama Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Indo Stock

Indo Acidatama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indo with respect to the benefits of owning Indo Acidatama security.