SRP Groupe (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.9
| SRP Stock | EUR 0.77 0.04 4.94% |
SRP |
SRP Groupe Target Price Odds to finish over 0.9
The tendency of SRP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 0.90 or more in 90 days |
| 0.77 | 90 days | 0.90 | about 91.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SRP Groupe to move over € 0.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.41 (This SRP Groupe SA probability density function shows the probability of SRP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SRP Groupe SA price to stay between its current price of € 0.77 and € 0.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SRP Groupe SA has a beta of -0.2. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SRP Groupe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SRP Groupe SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SRP Groupe SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SRP Groupe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SRP Groupe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SRP Groupe SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SRP Groupe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SRP Groupe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SRP Groupe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SRP Groupe SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SRP Groupe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
SRP Groupe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SRP Groupe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SRP Groupe SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SRP Groupe SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SRP Groupe SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SRP Groupe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SRP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SRP Groupe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SRP Groupe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.6 M |
SRP Groupe Technical Analysis
SRP Groupe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SRP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SRP Groupe SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SRP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SRP Groupe Predictive Forecast Models
SRP Groupe's time-series forecasting models is one of many SRP Groupe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SRP Groupe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SRP Groupe SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about SRP Groupe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SRP Groupe SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SRP Groupe SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SRP Groupe SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in SRP Stock
SRP Groupe financial ratios help investors to determine whether SRP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SRP with respect to the benefits of owning SRP Groupe security.