Seritage Growth Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.84
| SRG Stock | USD 4.04 0.02 0.49% |
Seritage |
Seritage Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 4.84
The tendency of Seritage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.84 or more in 90 days |
| 4.04 | 90 days | 4.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seritage Growth to move over $ 4.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seritage Growth Properties probability density function shows the probability of Seritage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seritage Growth Prop price to stay between its current price of $ 4.04 and $ 4.84 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Seritage Growth has a beta of 0.87. This usually implies Seritage Growth Properties market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Seritage Growth is expected to follow. Additionally Seritage Growth Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seritage Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seritage Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seritage Growth Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seritage Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seritage Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seritage Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seritage Growth Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seritage Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Seritage Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seritage Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seritage Growth Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seritage Growth Prop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seritage Growth Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.58 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (154.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 37.76 M. | |
| Seritage Growth Properties has about 133.48 M in cash with (53.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.67. | |
| Seritage Growth Prop has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 4350 shares by Eric Dinenberg of Seritage Growth subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Seritage Growth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seritage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seritage Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seritage Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134 M |
Seritage Growth Technical Analysis
Seritage Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seritage Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seritage Growth Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seritage Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seritage Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Seritage Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seritage Growth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seritage Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seritage Growth Prop
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seritage Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seritage Growth Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seritage Growth Prop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seritage Growth Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.58 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (154.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 37.76 M. | |
| Seritage Growth Properties has about 133.48 M in cash with (53.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.67. | |
| Seritage Growth Prop has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 4350 shares by Eric Dinenberg of Seritage Growth subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Seritage Growth Backtesting, Seritage Growth Valuation, Seritage Growth Correlation, Seritage Growth Hype Analysis, Seritage Growth Volatility, Seritage Growth History as well as Seritage Growth Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seritage Growth. If investors know Seritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seritage Growth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Earnings Share (2.55) | Revenue Per Share 1.003 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.46) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Seritage Growth Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seritage Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seritage Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seritage Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seritage Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seritage Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seritage Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seritage Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.