SCOTTIE RESOURCES (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.13

SR8 Stock   0.10  0.00  0.00%   
SCOTTIE RESOURCES's future price is the expected price of SCOTTIE RESOURCES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SCOTTIE RESOURCES P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SCOTTIE RESOURCES Backtesting, SCOTTIE RESOURCES Valuation, SCOTTIE RESOURCES Correlation, SCOTTIE RESOURCES Hype Analysis, SCOTTIE RESOURCES Volatility, SCOTTIE RESOURCES History as well as SCOTTIE RESOURCES Performance.
  
Please specify SCOTTIE RESOURCES's target price for which you would like SCOTTIE RESOURCES odds to be computed.

SCOTTIE RESOURCES Target Price Odds to finish over 0.13

The tendency of SCOTTIE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.13  or more in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.13 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCOTTIE RESOURCES to move over  0.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This SCOTTIE RESOURCES P probability density function shows the probability of SCOTTIE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCOTTIE RESOURCES price to stay between its current price of  0.10  and  0.13  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.73 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SCOTTIE RESOURCES will likely underperform. Additionally SCOTTIE RESOURCES P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SCOTTIE RESOURCES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SCOTTIE RESOURCES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCOTTIE RESOURCES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1012.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.112.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0712.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.090.390.87
Details

SCOTTIE RESOURCES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCOTTIE RESOURCES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCOTTIE RESOURCES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCOTTIE RESOURCES P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCOTTIE RESOURCES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

SCOTTIE RESOURCES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCOTTIE RESOURCES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCOTTIE RESOURCES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SCOTTIE RESOURCES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SCOTTIE RESOURCES has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SCOTTIE RESOURCES has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SCOTTIE RESOURCES has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SCOTTIE RESOURCES Technical Analysis

SCOTTIE RESOURCES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCOTTIE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCOTTIE RESOURCES P. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCOTTIE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SCOTTIE RESOURCES Predictive Forecast Models

SCOTTIE RESOURCES's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCOTTIE RESOURCES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCOTTIE RESOURCES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SCOTTIE RESOURCES

Checking the ongoing alerts about SCOTTIE RESOURCES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCOTTIE RESOURCES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SCOTTIE RESOURCES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SCOTTIE RESOURCES has high historical volatility and very poor performance
SCOTTIE RESOURCES has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SCOTTIE RESOURCES has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SCOTTIE Stock

SCOTTIE RESOURCES financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCOTTIE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCOTTIE with respect to the benefits of owning SCOTTIE RESOURCES security.