Swiss Prime (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 96.69

SPSN Stock  CHF 97.35  0.20  0.21%   
Swiss Prime's future price is the expected price of Swiss Prime instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swiss Prime Site performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swiss Prime Backtesting, Swiss Prime Valuation, Swiss Prime Correlation, Swiss Prime Hype Analysis, Swiss Prime Volatility, Swiss Prime History as well as Swiss Prime Performance.
  
Please specify Swiss Prime's target price for which you would like Swiss Prime odds to be computed.

Swiss Prime Target Price Odds to finish below 96.69

The tendency of Swiss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 96.69  or more in 90 days
 97.35 90 days 96.69 
about 87.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swiss Prime to drop to ₣ 96.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 87.89 (This Swiss Prime Site probability density function shows the probability of Swiss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swiss Prime Site price to stay between ₣ 96.69  and its current price of ₣97.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swiss Prime Site has a beta of -0.0169. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swiss Prime are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Swiss Prime Site is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Swiss Prime Site has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Swiss Prime Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swiss Prime

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiss Prime Site. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.6997.3598.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.9491.60107.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.6096.2596.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.4497.2698.09
Details

Swiss Prime Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swiss Prime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swiss Prime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swiss Prime Site, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swiss Prime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.004
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Swiss Prime Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swiss Prime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swiss Prime Site can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Prime Site has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Swiss Prime Site has accumulated 4.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 98.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Swiss Prime Site has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swiss Prime until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swiss Prime's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swiss Prime Site sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swiss Prime's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Swiss Prime Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swiss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swiss Prime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Prime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.7 M

Swiss Prime Technical Analysis

Swiss Prime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swiss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swiss Prime Site. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swiss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swiss Prime Predictive Forecast Models

Swiss Prime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swiss Prime's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swiss Prime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swiss Prime Site

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swiss Prime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swiss Prime Site help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Prime Site has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Swiss Prime Site has accumulated 4.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 98.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Swiss Prime Site has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swiss Prime until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swiss Prime's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swiss Prime Site sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swiss Prime's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Swiss Stock Analysis

When running Swiss Prime's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Prime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Prime is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Prime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Prime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Prime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Prime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.