Simon Property Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 150.04
| SPG Stock | USD 173.80 0.45 0.26% |
Simon |
Simon Property Target Price Odds to finish below 150.04
The tendency of Simon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 150.04 or more in 90 days |
| 173.80 | 90 days | 150.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Simon Property to drop to $ 150.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Simon Property Group probability density function shows the probability of Simon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Simon Property Group price to stay between $ 150.04 and its current price of $173.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.93 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Simon Property has a beta of 0.0618. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Simon Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Simon Property Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Simon Property Group has an alpha of 0.0443, implying that it can generate a 0.0443 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Simon Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Simon Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simon Property Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Simon Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Simon Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Simon Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Simon Property Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Simon Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Simon Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Simon Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Simon Property Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Simon Property Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Simon Property Group has 26.52 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.23, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Simon Property Group has a current ratio of 0.37, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Simon to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Simon Property Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of Simon Property shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Keep Simon Property Stock in Your Portfolio |
Simon Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Simon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Simon Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simon Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 326.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Simon Property Technical Analysis
Simon Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Simon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Simon Property Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Simon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Simon Property Predictive Forecast Models
Simon Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Simon Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Simon Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Simon Property Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Simon Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Simon Property Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Simon Property Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Simon Property Group has 26.52 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.23, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Simon Property Group has a current ratio of 0.37, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Simon to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Simon Property Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of Simon Property shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Keep Simon Property Stock in Your Portfolio |
Check out Simon Property Backtesting, Simon Property Valuation, Simon Property Correlation, Simon Property Hype Analysis, Simon Property Volatility, Simon Property History as well as Simon Property Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simon Property. If investors know Simon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simon Property listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 7.9 | Earnings Share 7.53 | Revenue Per Share 18.125 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 |
The market value of Simon Property Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simon Property's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simon Property's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simon Property's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simon Property's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simon Property's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simon Property is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simon Property's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.