Special Opportunities Closed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 13.84

SPE Fund  USD 15.51  0.08  0.52%   
Special Opportunities' future price is the expected price of Special Opportunities instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Special Opportunities Closed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Special Opportunities Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Special Opportunities Correlation, Special Opportunities Hype Analysis, Special Opportunities Volatility, Special Opportunities History as well as Special Opportunities Performance.
  
Please specify Special Opportunities' target price for which you would like Special Opportunities odds to be computed.

Special Opportunities Target Price Odds to finish below 13.84

The tendency of Special Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.84  or more in 90 days
 15.51 90 days 13.84 
about 18.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Special Opportunities to drop to $ 13.84  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.85 (This Special Opportunities Closed probability density function shows the probability of Special Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Special Opportunities price to stay between $ 13.84  and its current price of $15.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.44 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Special Opportunities has a beta of 0.26. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Special Opportunities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Special Opportunities Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Special Opportunities Closed has an alpha of 0.1763, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Special Opportunities Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Special Opportunities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Special Opportunities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7915.5016.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5615.2715.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9315.6416.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.8415.2415.65
Details

Special Opportunities Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Special Opportunities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Special Opportunities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Special Opportunities Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Special Opportunities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Special Opportunities Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Special Opportunities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Special Opportunities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Special Opportunities Technical Analysis

Special Opportunities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Special Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Special Opportunities Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Special Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Special Opportunities Predictive Forecast Models

Special Opportunities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Special Opportunities' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Special Opportunities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Special Opportunities

Checking the ongoing alerts about Special Opportunities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Special Opportunities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Special Fund

Special Opportunities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Special Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Special with respect to the benefits of owning Special Opportunities security.
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