Shyft (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.06
| SP8 Stock | EUR 11.30 0.50 4.63% |
Shyft |
Shyft Target Price Odds to finish over 11.06
The tendency of Shyft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 11.06 in 90 days |
| 11.30 | 90 days | 11.06 | about 80.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shyft to stay above € 11.06 in 90 days from now is about 80.23 (This The Shyft Group probability density function shows the probability of Shyft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shyft Group price to stay between € 11.06 and its current price of €11.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Shyft has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shyft average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Shyft Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Shyft Group has an alpha of 0.0599, implying that it can generate a 0.0599 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shyft Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shyft
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shyft Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shyft Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shyft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shyft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Shyft Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shyft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Shyft Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shyft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shyft Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shyft Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The Shyft Group has accumulated about 21.37 M in cash with (18.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.6. | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Shyft Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shyft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shyft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shyft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.1 M |
Shyft Technical Analysis
Shyft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shyft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Shyft Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shyft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shyft Predictive Forecast Models
Shyft's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shyft's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shyft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shyft Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shyft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shyft Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shyft Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The Shyft Group has accumulated about 21.37 M in cash with (18.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.6. | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Shyft Stock
Shyft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shyft Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shyft with respect to the benefits of owning Shyft security.