Sopra Steria (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 179.16
| SOP Stock | EUR 168.00 0.60 0.36% |
Sopra |
Sopra Steria Target Price Odds to finish below 179.16
The tendency of Sopra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 179.16 after 90 days |
| 168.00 | 90 days | 179.16 | about 45.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sopra Steria to stay under € 179.16 after 90 days from now is about 45.6 (This Sopra Steria Group probability density function shows the probability of Sopra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sopra Steria Group price to stay between its current price of € 168.00 and € 179.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sopra Steria Group has a beta of -0.2. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sopra Steria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sopra Steria Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sopra Steria Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sopra Steria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sopra Steria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sopra Steria Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sopra Steria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sopra Steria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sopra Steria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sopra Steria Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sopra Steria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Sopra Steria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sopra Steria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sopra Steria Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sopra Steria Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sopra Steria Group has accumulated €448.4 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Sopra Steria Group has accumulated 448.4 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sopra Steria Group has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sopra Steria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sopra Steria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sopra Steria Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sopra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sopra Steria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 28.0% of Sopra Steria outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sopra Steria Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sopra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sopra Steria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sopra Steria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 217.2 M |
Sopra Steria Technical Analysis
Sopra Steria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sopra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sopra Steria Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sopra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sopra Steria Predictive Forecast Models
Sopra Steria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sopra Steria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sopra Steria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sopra Steria Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sopra Steria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sopra Steria Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sopra Steria Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sopra Steria Group has accumulated €448.4 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Sopra Steria Group has accumulated 448.4 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sopra Steria Group has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sopra Steria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sopra Steria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sopra Steria Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sopra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sopra Steria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 28.0% of Sopra Steria outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sopra Stock
Sopra Steria financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sopra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sopra with respect to the benefits of owning Sopra Steria security.