Sensen Networks (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0388

SNS Stock   0.04  0  9.76%   
Sensen Networks' future price is the expected price of Sensen Networks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sensen Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sensen Networks Backtesting, Sensen Networks Valuation, Sensen Networks Correlation, Sensen Networks Hype Analysis, Sensen Networks Volatility, Sensen Networks History as well as Sensen Networks Performance.
  
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Sensen Networks Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0388

The tendency of Sensen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.04  after 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 7.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sensen Networks to stay under  0.04  after 90 days from now is about 7.0 (This Sensen Networks probability density function shows the probability of Sensen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sensen Networks price to stay between its current price of  0.04  and  0.04  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sensen Networks has a beta of -0.23. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sensen Networks are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sensen Networks is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sensen Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sensen Networks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sensen Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensen Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.044.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.044.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.044.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0025-0.0025-0.0025
Details

Sensen Networks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sensen Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sensen Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sensen Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sensen Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Sensen Networks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sensen Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sensen Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sensen Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sensen Networks has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sensen Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sensen Networks has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 12.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.48 M.
Sensen Networks generates negative cash flow from operations
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sensen Networks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sensen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sensen Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensen Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding732.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 M

Sensen Networks Technical Analysis

Sensen Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sensen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sensen Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sensen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sensen Networks Predictive Forecast Models

Sensen Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sensen Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sensen Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sensen Networks

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sensen Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sensen Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sensen Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sensen Networks has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sensen Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sensen Networks has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 12.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.48 M.
Sensen Networks generates negative cash flow from operations
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Sensen Stock Analysis

When running Sensen Networks' price analysis, check to measure Sensen Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensen Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Sensen Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensen Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensen Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensen Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.