Sonida Senior Living Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.8
| SNDA Stock | USD 23.70 0.59 2.55% |
Sonida |
Sonida Senior Target Price Odds to finish below 31.8
The tendency of Sonida Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 31.80 after 90 days |
| 23.70 | 90 days | 31.80 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sonida Senior to stay under $ 31.80 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sonida Senior Living probability density function shows the probability of Sonida Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sonida Senior Living price to stay between its current price of $ 23.70 and $ 31.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.38 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.55 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sonida Senior will likely underperform. Additionally Sonida Senior Living has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sonida Senior Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sonida Senior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonida Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sonida Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sonida Senior Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sonida Senior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sonida Senior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sonida Senior Living, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sonida Senior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Sonida Senior Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sonida Senior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sonida Senior Living can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sonida Senior Living generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sonida Senior Living has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sonida Senior Living currently holds 629.42 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Sonida Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Sonida Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 255.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.57 M. | |
| About 74.0% of Sonida Senior shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Sell Alert Benjamin Harris Sells Shares of Sonida Senio - GuruFocus.com |
Sonida Senior Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sonida Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sonida Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sonida Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Sonida Senior Technical Analysis
Sonida Senior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sonida Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sonida Senior Living. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sonida Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sonida Senior Predictive Forecast Models
Sonida Senior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sonida Senior's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sonida Senior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sonida Senior Living
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sonida Senior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sonida Senior Living help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sonida Senior Living generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sonida Senior Living has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sonida Senior Living currently holds 629.42 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Sonida Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Sonida Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 255.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.57 M. | |
| About 74.0% of Sonida Senior shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Sell Alert Benjamin Harris Sells Shares of Sonida Senio - GuruFocus.com |
Check out Sonida Senior Backtesting, Sonida Senior Valuation, Sonida Senior Correlation, Sonida Senior Hype Analysis, Sonida Senior Volatility, Sonida Senior History as well as Sonida Senior Performance. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sonida Senior. If investors know Sonida will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sonida Senior listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share (2.36) | Revenue Per Share 26.27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Sonida Senior Living is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sonida that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sonida Senior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sonida Senior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sonida Senior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sonida Senior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sonida Senior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sonida Senior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sonida Senior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.