SL Private (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 447.49

SLPE Stock   535.00  2.00  0.38%   
SL Private's future price is the expected price of SL Private instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SL Private Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SL Private Backtesting, SL Private Valuation, SL Private Correlation, SL Private Hype Analysis, SL Private Volatility, SL Private History as well as SL Private Performance.
  
Please specify SL Private's target price for which you would like SL Private odds to be computed.

SL Private Target Price Odds to finish below 447.49

The tendency of SLPE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  447.49  or more in 90 days
 535.00 90 days 447.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SL Private to drop to  447.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SL Private Equity probability density function shows the probability of SLPE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SL Private Equity price to stay between  447.49  and its current price of 535.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SL Private has a beta of 0.38. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SL Private average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SL Private Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SL Private Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SL Private Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SL Private

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SL Private Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
533.79534.97536.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
481.50536.23537.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
529.35530.53531.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
528.80533.33537.86
Details

SL Private Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SL Private is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SL Private's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SL Private Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SL Private within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
7.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

SL Private Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SL Private for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SL Private Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SL Private Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SL Private Equity is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
SL Private generates negative cash flow from operations
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: SL Green Prices 400M Stock Offering at 79 Per Share, Major Banks Lead Deal SLG Stock News - StockTitan

SL Private Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SLPE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SL Private's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SL Private's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.7 M
Dividends Paid23.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.4 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.14

SL Private Technical Analysis

SL Private's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SLPE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SL Private Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing SLPE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SL Private Predictive Forecast Models

SL Private's time-series forecasting models is one of many SL Private's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SL Private's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SL Private Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about SL Private for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SL Private Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SL Private Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SL Private Equity is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
SL Private generates negative cash flow from operations
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: SL Green Prices 400M Stock Offering at 79 Per Share, Major Banks Lead Deal SLG Stock News - StockTitan

Additional Tools for SLPE Stock Analysis

When running SL Private's price analysis, check to measure SL Private's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SL Private is operating at the current time. Most of SL Private's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SL Private's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SL Private's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SL Private to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.