Sjm Holdings Ltd Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 22.60

SJMHY Stock  USD 1.26  0.16  14.55%   
SJM Holdings' future price is the expected price of SJM Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SJM Holdings Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SJM Holdings Backtesting, SJM Holdings Valuation, SJM Holdings Correlation, SJM Holdings Hype Analysis, SJM Holdings Volatility, SJM Holdings History as well as SJM Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify SJM Holdings' target price for which you would like SJM Holdings odds to be computed.

SJM Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 22.60

The tendency of SJM Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.60  or more in 90 days
 1.26 90 days 22.60 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SJM Holdings to move over $ 22.60  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SJM Holdings Ltd probability density function shows the probability of SJM Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SJM Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.26  and $ 22.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SJM Holdings has a beta of 0.51. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SJM Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SJM Holdings Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SJM Holdings Ltd has an alpha of 0.5667, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SJM Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SJM Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SJM Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.268.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.088.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.388.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.941.181.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SJM Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SJM Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SJM Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SJM Holdings.

SJM Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SJM Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SJM Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SJM Holdings Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SJM Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

SJM Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SJM Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SJM Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SJM Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SJM Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
SJM Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
SJM Holdings Ltd has accumulated 9.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SJM Holdings has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SJM Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SJM Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SJM Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SJM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SJM Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.89 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.14 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.55 B.
SJM Holdings Ltd has accumulated about 2.26 B in cash with (4.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.59, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

SJM Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SJM Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SJM Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SJM Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 B

SJM Holdings Technical Analysis

SJM Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SJM Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SJM Holdings Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing SJM Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SJM Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

SJM Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many SJM Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SJM Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SJM Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about SJM Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SJM Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SJM Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SJM Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
SJM Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
SJM Holdings Ltd has accumulated 9.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SJM Holdings has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SJM Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SJM Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SJM Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SJM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SJM Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.89 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.14 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.55 B.
SJM Holdings Ltd has accumulated about 2.26 B in cash with (4.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.59, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for SJM Pink Sheet Analysis

When running SJM Holdings' price analysis, check to measure SJM Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SJM Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of SJM Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SJM Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SJM Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SJM Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.