Sixt SE (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.38

SIX2 Stock   69.30  0.90  1.32%   
Sixt SE's future price is the expected price of Sixt SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sixt SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sixt SE Backtesting, Sixt SE Valuation, Sixt SE Correlation, Sixt SE Hype Analysis, Sixt SE Volatility, Sixt SE History as well as Sixt SE Performance.
  
Please specify Sixt SE's target price for which you would like Sixt SE odds to be computed.

Sixt SE Target Price Odds to finish below 66.38

The tendency of Sixt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  66.38  or more in 90 days
 69.30 90 days 66.38 
about 32.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sixt SE to drop to  66.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.52 (This Sixt SE probability density function shows the probability of Sixt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sixt SE price to stay between  66.38  and its current price of 69.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sixt SE has a beta of -0.0497. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sixt SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sixt SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sixt SE has an alpha of 0.1978, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sixt SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sixt SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sixt SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.0969.3071.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.4857.6976.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.4269.6371.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.8570.3671.87
Details

Sixt SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sixt SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sixt SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sixt SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sixt SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
4.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Sixt SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sixt SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sixt SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sixt SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sixt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sixt SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sixt SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments265.8 M

Sixt SE Technical Analysis

Sixt SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sixt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sixt SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sixt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sixt SE Predictive Forecast Models

Sixt SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sixt SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sixt SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sixt SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sixt SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sixt SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sixt Stock

Sixt SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sixt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sixt with respect to the benefits of owning Sixt SE security.