SIS (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 448.71

SIS Stock   369.60  0.45  0.12%   
SIS's future price is the expected price of SIS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SIS LIMITED performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SIS Backtesting, SIS Valuation, SIS Correlation, SIS Hype Analysis, SIS Volatility, SIS History as well as SIS Performance.
  
Please specify SIS's target price for which you would like SIS odds to be computed.

SIS Target Price Odds to finish below 448.71

The tendency of SIS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  448.71  after 90 days
 369.60 90 days 448.71 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SIS to stay under  448.71  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SIS LIMITED probability density function shows the probability of SIS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SIS LIMITED price to stay between its current price of  369.60  and  448.71  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SIS LIMITED has a beta of -0.19. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SIS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SIS LIMITED is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SIS LIMITED has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SIS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SIS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIS LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
369.33370.69372.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
316.41317.77406.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.005.355.83
Details

SIS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SIS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SIS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SIS LIMITED, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SIS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
14.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

SIS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SIS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SIS LIMITED can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SIS LIMITED generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SIS LIMITED is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SIS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SIS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SIS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SIS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding146.6 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

SIS Technical Analysis

SIS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SIS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SIS LIMITED. In general, you should focus on analyzing SIS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SIS Predictive Forecast Models

SIS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SIS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SIS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SIS LIMITED

Checking the ongoing alerts about SIS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SIS LIMITED help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SIS LIMITED generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SIS LIMITED is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SIS Stock

SIS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SIS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SIS with respect to the benefits of owning SIS security.