T4F Entretenimento (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.27
| SHOW3 Stock | BRL 0.70 0.01 1.41% |
T4F |
T4F Entretenimento Target Price Odds to finish over 10.27
The tendency of T4F Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 10.27 or more in 90 days |
| 0.70 | 90 days | 10.27 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of T4F Entretenimento to move over R$ 10.27 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This T4F Entretenimento SA probability density function shows the probability of T4F Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of T4F Entretenimento price to stay between its current price of R$ 0.70 and R$ 10.27 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon T4F Entretenimento SA has a beta of -0.24. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding T4F Entretenimento are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, T4F Entretenimento SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally T4F Entretenimento SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. T4F Entretenimento Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for T4F Entretenimento
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as T4F Entretenimento. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.T4F Entretenimento Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. T4F Entretenimento is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the T4F Entretenimento's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold T4F Entretenimento SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of T4F Entretenimento within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
T4F Entretenimento Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of T4F Entretenimento for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for T4F Entretenimento can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| T4F Entretenimento generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| T4F Entretenimento has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| T4F Entretenimento has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 31.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.08 M. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
T4F Entretenimento Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of T4F Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential T4F Entretenimento's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. T4F Entretenimento's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218.7 M |
T4F Entretenimento Technical Analysis
T4F Entretenimento's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. T4F Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of T4F Entretenimento SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing T4F Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
T4F Entretenimento Predictive Forecast Models
T4F Entretenimento's time-series forecasting models is one of many T4F Entretenimento's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary T4F Entretenimento's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about T4F Entretenimento
Checking the ongoing alerts about T4F Entretenimento for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for T4F Entretenimento help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| T4F Entretenimento generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| T4F Entretenimento has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| T4F Entretenimento has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 31.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.08 M. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for T4F Stock Analysis
When running T4F Entretenimento's price analysis, check to measure T4F Entretenimento's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy T4F Entretenimento is operating at the current time. Most of T4F Entretenimento's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of T4F Entretenimento's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move T4F Entretenimento's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of T4F Entretenimento to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.