Columbia Seligman Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 79.44

SGTRX Fund  USD 79.44  1.36  1.74%   
Columbia Seligman's future price is the expected price of Columbia Seligman instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Seligman Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Seligman Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Seligman Correlation, Columbia Seligman Hype Analysis, Columbia Seligman Volatility, Columbia Seligman History as well as Columbia Seligman Performance.
  
Please specify Columbia Seligman's target price for which you would like Columbia Seligman odds to be computed.

Columbia Seligman Target Price Odds to finish over 79.44

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 79.44 90 days 79.44 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Seligman to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Columbia Seligman Global probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Seligman Global has a beta of -0.043. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Columbia Seligman are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Columbia Seligman Global is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Columbia Seligman Global has an alpha of 0.1663, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Columbia Seligman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Seligman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Seligman Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.8977.9779.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.5371.6185.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.0978.1779.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.8276.1477.47
Details

Columbia Seligman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Seligman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Seligman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Seligman Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Seligman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Columbia Seligman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Seligman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Seligman Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.69% of its assets in stocks

Columbia Seligman Technical Analysis

Columbia Seligman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Seligman Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Seligman Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Seligman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Seligman's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Seligman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Seligman Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Seligman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Seligman Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.69% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Seligman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Seligman security.
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