Compagnie (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 88.78
| SGO Stock | EUR 86.06 0.88 1.03% |
Compagnie |
Compagnie Target Price Odds to finish below 88.78
The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 88.78 after 90 days |
| 86.06 | 90 days | 88.78 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie to stay under € 88.78 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Compagnie de Saint Gobain probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie de Saint price to stay between its current price of € 86.06 and € 88.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compagnie has a beta of 0.034. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Compagnie average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compagnie de Saint Gobain will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compagnie de Saint Gobain has an alpha of 0.1403, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Compagnie Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Compagnie
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie de Saint. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Compagnie Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie de Saint Gobain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Compagnie Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 539.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Compagnie Technical Analysis
Compagnie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie de Saint Gobain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Compagnie Predictive Forecast Models
Compagnie's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Compagnie in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Compagnie's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Compagnie options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Compagnie Stock
Compagnie financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compagnie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compagnie with respect to the benefits of owning Compagnie security.