SGF Capital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.44
| SGF Stock | THB 0.24 0.02 9.09% |
SGF |
SGF Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 3.44
The tendency of SGF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3.44 or more in 90 days |
| 0.24 | 90 days | 3.44 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SGF Capital to move over 3.44 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SGF Capital Public probability density function shows the probability of SGF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SGF Capital Public price to stay between its current price of 0.24 and 3.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SGF Capital has a beta of 0.39. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SGF Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SGF Capital Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SGF Capital Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SGF Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SGF Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SGF Capital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SGF Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SGF Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SGF Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SGF Capital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SGF Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
SGF Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SGF Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SGF Capital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SGF Capital Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SGF Capital Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SGF Capital Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SGF Capital Public has accumulated about 140.75 M in cash with (260.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SGF Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SGF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SGF Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SGF Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
SGF Capital Technical Analysis
SGF Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SGF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SGF Capital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing SGF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SGF Capital Predictive Forecast Models
SGF Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many SGF Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SGF Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SGF Capital Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about SGF Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SGF Capital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SGF Capital Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SGF Capital Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SGF Capital Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SGF Capital Public has accumulated about 140.75 M in cash with (260.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in SGF Stock
SGF Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether SGF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SGF with respect to the benefits of owning SGF Capital security.