SG Fleet (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.76
| SGF Stock | 3.40 0.01 0.29% |
SGF |
SG Fleet Target Price Odds to finish over 9.76
The tendency of SGF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 9.76 or more in 90 days |
| 3.40 | 90 days | 9.76 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SG Fleet to move over 9.76 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SG Fleet Group probability density function shows the probability of SGF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SG Fleet Group price to stay between its current price of 3.40 and 9.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SG Fleet has a beta of 0.68. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SG Fleet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SG Fleet Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SG Fleet Group has an alpha of 0.491, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SG Fleet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SG Fleet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SG Fleet Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SG Fleet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SG Fleet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SG Fleet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SG Fleet Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SG Fleet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
SG Fleet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SG Fleet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SG Fleet Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SG Fleet generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SG Fleet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SGF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SG Fleet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SG Fleet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 345 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 396.8 M |
SG Fleet Technical Analysis
SG Fleet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SGF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SG Fleet Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing SGF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SG Fleet Predictive Forecast Models
SG Fleet's time-series forecasting models is one of many SG Fleet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SG Fleet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SG Fleet Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about SG Fleet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SG Fleet Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SG Fleet generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for SGF Stock Analysis
When running SG Fleet's price analysis, check to measure SG Fleet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SG Fleet is operating at the current time. Most of SG Fleet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SG Fleet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SG Fleet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SG Fleet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.