Swift Foods (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0546
| SFI Stock | 0.06 0 1.79% |
Swift |
Swift Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0546
The tendency of Swift Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 26.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swift Foods to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.18 (This Swift Foods probability density function shows the probability of Swift Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swift Foods price to stay between 0.05 and its current price of 0.055 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swift Foods has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swift Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swift Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swift Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Swift Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swift Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swift Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swift Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swift Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swift Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swift Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swift Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0049 |
Swift Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swift Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swift Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swift Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Swift Foods has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Swift Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swift Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swift Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swift Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.5 M |
Swift Foods Technical Analysis
Swift Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swift Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swift Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swift Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swift Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Swift Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Swift Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swift Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swift Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swift Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swift Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Swift Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Swift Foods has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Swift Stock
Swift Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swift Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swift with respect to the benefits of owning Swift Foods security.