Swift Foods (Philippines) Market Value

SFI Stock   0.06  0  1.79%   
Swift Foods' market value is the price at which a share of Swift Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Swift Foods investors about its performance. Swift Foods is trading at 0.055 as of the 22nd of December 2024, a 1.79 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.055.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Swift Foods and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Swift Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out Swift Foods Correlation, Swift Foods Volatility and Swift Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Swift Foods.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Swift Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swift Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swift Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Swift Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swift Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swift Foods.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Swift Foods on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Swift Foods or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swift Foods over 30 days. Swift Foods is related to or competes with Century Pacific, RFM Corp, Axelum Resources, DDMP REIT, Metro Retail, VistaREIT, and Easycall Communications. More

Swift Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swift Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Swift Foods upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Swift Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swift Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swift Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swift Foods historical prices to predict the future Swift Foods' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.065.13
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.055.12
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Swift Foods Backtested Returns

At this point, Swift Foods is out of control. Swift Foods owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0183, which indicates the firm had a 0.0183% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Swift Foods, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Swift Foods' Semi Deviation of 3.69, coefficient of variation of 60334.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0097 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0926%. Swift Foods has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.43, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Swift Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Swift Foods is expected to be smaller as well. Swift Foods right now has a risk of 5.07%. Please validate Swift Foods downside variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Swift Foods will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Swift Foods has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swift Foods time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swift Foods price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Swift Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Swift Foods lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Swift Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Swift Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Swift Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Swift Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Swift Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Swift Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Swift Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Swift Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Swift Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating Swift Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Swift Foods stock have on its future price. Swift Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Swift Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between Swift Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Swift Foods.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Swift Stock

Swift Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swift Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swift with respect to the benefits of owning Swift Foods security.