Stifel Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.87
| SFB Stock | USD 20.77 0.31 1.47% |
Stifel |
Stifel Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 22.87
The tendency of Stifel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.87 or more in 90 days |
| 20.77 | 90 days | 22.87 | about 24.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stifel Financial to move over $ 22.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.94 (This Stifel Financial probability density function shows the probability of Stifel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stifel Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 20.77 and $ 22.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.26 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Stifel Financial has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stifel Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stifel Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stifel Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stifel Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stifel Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stifel Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stifel Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stifel Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stifel Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stifel Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stifel Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
Stifel Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stifel Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stifel Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stifel Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Nicolaus Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for FactSet Research Systems Stock - MarketBeat |
Stifel Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stifel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stifel Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stifel Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -200.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Stifel Financial Technical Analysis
Stifel Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stifel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stifel Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stifel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stifel Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Stifel Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stifel Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stifel Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stifel Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stifel Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stifel Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stifel Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Nicolaus Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for FactSet Research Systems Stock - MarketBeat |
Check out Stifel Financial Backtesting, Stifel Financial Valuation, Stifel Financial Correlation, Stifel Financial Hype Analysis, Stifel Financial Volatility, Stifel Financial History as well as Stifel Financial Performance. For information on how to trade Stifel Stock refer to our How to Trade Stifel Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stifel Financial. If investors know Stifel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stifel Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Equity 0.196 |
The market value of Stifel Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stifel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stifel Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stifel Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stifel Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stifel Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stifel Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stifel Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stifel Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.