Stifel Financial Corp Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 22.54
| SF-PB Preferred Stock | USD 24.52 0.21 0.85% |
Stifel |
Stifel Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 22.54
The tendency of Stifel Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 22.54 or more in 90 days |
| 24.52 | 90 days | 22.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stifel Financial to drop to $ 22.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stifel Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Stifel Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stifel Financial Corp price to stay between $ 22.54 and its current price of $24.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stifel Financial has a beta of 0.027. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stifel Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stifel Financial Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stifel Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stifel Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stifel Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stifel Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stifel Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stifel Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stifel Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stifel Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stifel Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Stifel Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stifel Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stifel Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stifel Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stifel Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Stifel Financial Corp has accumulated 1.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 83.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stifel Financial Corp has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stifel Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stifel Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stifel Financial Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stifel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stifel Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Stifel Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stifel Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stifel Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stifel Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 B |
Stifel Financial Technical Analysis
Stifel Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stifel Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stifel Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stifel Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stifel Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Stifel Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stifel Financial's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stifel Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stifel Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stifel Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stifel Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stifel Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stifel Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Stifel Financial Corp has accumulated 1.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 83.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stifel Financial Corp has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stifel Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stifel Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stifel Financial Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stifel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stifel Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Stifel Preferred Stock
Stifel Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stifel Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stifel with respect to the benefits of owning Stifel Financial security.