Sprott Energy Transition Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 16.45

SETM Etf   16.42  0.42  2.49%   
Sprott Energy's future price is the expected price of Sprott Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sprott Energy Transition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sprott Energy Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sprott Energy Correlation, Sprott Energy Hype Analysis, Sprott Energy Volatility, Sprott Energy History as well as Sprott Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Sprott Energy's target price for which you would like Sprott Energy odds to be computed.

Sprott Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 16.45

The tendency of Sprott Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  16.45  after 90 days
 16.42 90 days 16.45 
about 10.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sprott Energy to stay under  16.45  after 90 days from now is about 10.22 (This Sprott Energy Transition probability density function shows the probability of Sprott Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sprott Energy Transition price to stay between its current price of  16.42  and  16.45  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sprott Energy has a beta of 0.53. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sprott Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sprott Energy Transition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sprott Energy Transition has an alpha of 0.0462, implying that it can generate a 0.0462 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sprott Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sprott Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprott Energy Transition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sprott Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2716.3918.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5316.6518.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1416.2618.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5417.3618.17
Details

Sprott Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sprott Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sprott Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sprott Energy Transition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sprott Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0

Sprott Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sprott Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sprott Energy Transition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Sprott Energy Technical Analysis

Sprott Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sprott Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sprott Energy Transition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sprott Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sprott Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Sprott Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sprott Energy's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sprott Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sprott Energy Transition

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sprott Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sprott Energy Transition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether Sprott Energy Transition is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprott Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprott Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprott Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sprott Energy Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sprott Energy Correlation, Sprott Energy Hype Analysis, Sprott Energy Volatility, Sprott Energy History as well as Sprott Energy Performance.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
The market value of Sprott Energy Transition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprott that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprott Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprott Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprott Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprott Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprott Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.