Secure Energy Services Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.81

SECYF Stock  USD 11.51  0.03  0.26%   
Secure Energy's future price is the expected price of Secure Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Secure Energy Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Secure Energy Backtesting, Secure Energy Valuation, Secure Energy Correlation, Secure Energy Hype Analysis, Secure Energy Volatility, Secure Energy History as well as Secure Energy Performance.
  
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Secure Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 9.81

The tendency of Secure Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.81  or more in 90 days
 11.51 90 days 9.81 
about 29.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Secure Energy to drop to $ 9.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.09 (This Secure Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of Secure Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Secure Energy Services price to stay between $ 9.81  and its current price of $11.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Secure Energy Services has a beta of -0.23. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Secure Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Secure Energy Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Secure Energy Services has an alpha of 0.5113, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Secure Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Secure Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Secure Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Secure Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2911.4813.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7710.9613.15
Details

Secure Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Secure Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Secure Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Secure Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Secure Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Secure Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Secure Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Secure Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (203 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194 M.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Secure Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Secure Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Secure Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Secure Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding308.2 M

Secure Energy Technical Analysis

Secure Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Secure Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Secure Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Secure Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Secure Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Secure Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Secure Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Secure Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Secure Energy Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about Secure Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Secure Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (203 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194 M.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Secure Pink Sheet

Secure Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Secure Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Secure with respect to the benefits of owning Secure Energy security.