Southeastern Banking Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 23.79

SEBC Stock  USD 25.00  0.26  1.05%   
Southeastern Banking's future price is the expected price of Southeastern Banking instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Southeastern Banking Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Southeastern Banking Backtesting, Southeastern Banking Valuation, Southeastern Banking Correlation, Southeastern Banking Hype Analysis, Southeastern Banking Volatility, Southeastern Banking History as well as Southeastern Banking Performance.
  
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Southeastern Banking Target Price Odds to finish below 23.79

The tendency of Southeastern Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.79  or more in 90 days
 25.00 90 days 23.79 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southeastern Banking to drop to $ 23.79  or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Southeastern Banking Corp probability density function shows the probability of Southeastern Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southeastern Banking Corp price to stay between $ 23.79  and its current price of $25.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southeastern Banking Corp has a beta of -0.53. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Southeastern Banking are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Southeastern Banking Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Southeastern Banking Corp has an alpha of 0.2064, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Southeastern Banking Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Southeastern Banking

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southeastern Banking Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.0625.0026.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.9023.8425.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.3525.2927.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.3323.2525.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Southeastern Banking. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Southeastern Banking's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Southeastern Banking's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Southeastern Banking Corp.

Southeastern Banking Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southeastern Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southeastern Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southeastern Banking Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southeastern Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Southeastern Banking Technical Analysis

Southeastern Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southeastern Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southeastern Banking Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southeastern Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Southeastern Banking Predictive Forecast Models

Southeastern Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many Southeastern Banking's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southeastern Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Southeastern Banking in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Southeastern Banking's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Southeastern Banking options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Southeastern Pink Sheet

Southeastern Banking financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southeastern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southeastern with respect to the benefits of owning Southeastern Banking security.