Bank Woori (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 596.15

SDRA Stock  IDR 438.00  2.00  0.45%   
Bank Woori's future price is the expected price of Bank Woori instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Woori Saudara performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Woori Backtesting, Bank Woori Valuation, Bank Woori Correlation, Bank Woori Hype Analysis, Bank Woori Volatility, Bank Woori History as well as Bank Woori Performance.
  
Please specify Bank Woori's target price for which you would like Bank Woori odds to be computed.

Bank Woori Target Price Odds to finish over 596.15

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  596.15  or more in 90 days
 438.00 90 days 596.15 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Woori to move over  596.15  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bank Woori Saudara probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Woori Saudara price to stay between its current price of  438.00  and  596.15  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Woori Saudara has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Woori are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Woori Saudara is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank Woori Saudara has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bank Woori Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Woori

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Woori Saudara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
437.22438.00438.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
358.05358.83481.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
443.53444.31445.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
430.22439.86449.51
Details

Bank Woori Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Woori is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Woori's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Woori Saudara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Woori within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
11.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Bank Woori Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Woori for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Woori Saudara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Woori Saudara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bank Woori Saudara has accumulated about 2.82 T in cash with (2.95 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 428.19.
Roughly 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Bank Woori Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Woori's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Woori's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.6 B

Bank Woori Technical Analysis

Bank Woori's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Woori Saudara. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Woori Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Woori's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Woori's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Woori's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank Woori Saudara

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Woori for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Woori Saudara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Woori Saudara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bank Woori Saudara has accumulated about 2.82 T in cash with (2.95 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 428.19.
Roughly 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock

Bank Woori financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Woori security.