Deutsche Large Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 99.33

SCQGX Fund  USD 96.27  0.61  0.64%   
Deutsche Large's future price is the expected price of Deutsche Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deutsche Large Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Deutsche Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Deutsche Large Correlation, Deutsche Large Hype Analysis, Deutsche Large Volatility, Deutsche Large History as well as Deutsche Large Performance.
  
Please specify Deutsche Large's target price for which you would like Deutsche Large odds to be computed.

Deutsche Large Target Price Odds to finish below 99.33

The tendency of Deutsche Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 99.33  after 90 days
 96.27 90 days 99.33 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Large to stay under $ 99.33  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Deutsche Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Large Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 96.27  and $ 99.33  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Large has a beta of 0.0287. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Large average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Large Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Large Cap has an alpha of 0.1608, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Deutsche Large Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.3296.2797.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.6499.33100.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.7496.7097.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.3994.6195.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Large Cap.

Deutsche Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
3.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Deutsche Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.35% of its assets in stocks

Deutsche Large Technical Analysis

Deutsche Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deutsche Large Predictive Forecast Models

Deutsche Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deutsche Large Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.35% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Large security.
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device